NBA SG Rankings part 1

Last week, we ranked who we thought were the top PGs in the league (Part 1 here & Part 2 here). This week, we’re taking a look at two guards. First of all, the SG class is nowhere near as strong as the PG class. My subjective proof – who would you rather have… the 17th best PG (Steph Curry) or the 17th best SG (Gordon Hayward)?

Anyway, in case you are curious, here is how I had them ranked two seasons ago before the start of the season…

1) Kobe (duh)
2) Wade (no surprise)
3) Roy (wow… you forget he was that good)
4) Iggy (…and the Wolves didn’t want to trade Wes freaking Johnson for him…)
5) Manu (about right)
6) Harden (guess who called him taking the step in his second year?!?)
7) Joe Johnson (overpaid)
8) Tyreke Evans (“…and I’m freeeeeeeee. Free falling…..”)
9) OJ Mayo (pegged that one wrong, as well)
10) Kevin Martin (I apparently loved all offense, no defense guys)
11) Vince Carter (yuck)
12) Gilbert Arenas (can you believe he was relevant such a short time ago?)
13) Ray Allen (predicted the fall too soon)
14) Stephen Jackson (little too high)
15) Eric Gordon (little too low)
16) Monta Ellis (about the same as this year… funny)
17) Jason Richardson (seemed about right)
18) Wes Johnson (homer pick?)
19) Anthony Morrow (is he still in the league?)
20) John Salmons (still cashing a fat check)
21) Caron Butler (my favorite tough guy in the league ever)
22) DeMar DeRozan (moving up slowly but surely)
23) Richard Hamilton (was declining already two years ago)
24) Ronnie Brewer (still like this guy)
25) Wilson Chndler (still really like this guy)
26) Mike Dunleavy Jr (yuck)
27) Arron Afflalo (big miss on my part)
28) Anthony Parker (big yuck)
29) Marco Belinelli (bigger yuck)
30) Raja Bell (again, he’s still in the league, right?)

Tier 6 – AKA “Uh… you might want to look at the free agent market next offseason”
30. Richard HamiltonLast season stats – 11.6 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 3.0 apg, 13.2 PER
I think Richard Hamilton’s midrange strengths will allow him to play in the league for a while. The problem? A guy who doesn’t shoot the three real often or real well and also isn’t drawing fouls probably is not going to carry your offense when your all-world starting PG is out for a big chunk of the season. Predicted season stats – 11.5 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 2.5 apg, 12.0 PER

29. Jason KiddLast season stats – 6.2 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 5.5. apg, 13.1 PER
It’s amazing to me that my favorite player from 7th grade is still in the league and still relatively productive. He’s evolved from a triple-double machine to a stand still three point shooter (what?!?). Like Chauncey, it’s odd to see him playing some SG for the Knicks, but I don’t know who else is going to play there. 7.0 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 5.0 apg, 13.0 PER

28. Gerald HendersonLast season stats – 15.1 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 2.3 apg, 14.0 PER
Henderson might have been the best of the crappy Bobcats last year. He’s an average at best NBA SG who can’t shoot threes. Should he figure out how to hit the three ball (a la late career Jason Kidd), he can stick around and be a rotation player for a long time. Otherwise, you might be looking at a career journeyman / future Euro star. Predicted season stats – 16.0 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 2.5 apg, 15.0 PER

27. Jason RichardsonLast season stats – 11.6 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 2.0 apg, 13.3 PER
Richardson is not longer the guy doing 360 dunks in the dunk contest. He’s turned into a great catch and shoot guy, but I’m not sure he does a whole lot more than that at this point. Having a guy like Richardson starting doesn’t kill you and I’m not even sure he’ll start over Nick Young for the whole season, but he certainly has some skills that can still help a team. Predicted season stats – 11.0 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.3 apg, 13.8 PER

26. Jared DudleyLast season stats – 14.7 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 2.0 apg, 15.4 PER
I like “Jared Dudley coming off the bench with Steve Nash as his starting PG” infinitely better than “Jared Dudley starting alongside Goran Dragic.” He’s a bigger SG which will help him against some of the guys who depend on their strength while he’ll struggle against the quicker twos. Predicted season stats – 11.5 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 2.2 apg, 13.5 PER

25. Rodney StuckeyLast season stats – 14.8 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 3.8 apg, 17.6 PER
I’ve long since proclaimed that I’m not really wild on Rodney Stuckey. He’s a good late game player and I really like his ability to draw contact, but I don’t think he’s an elite PG and I think he somewhat struggles playing off the ball. Time will tell, but I think he will struggle this year as Brandon Knight emerges. Predicted season stats – 12.0 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 3.0 apg, 16.0 PER

Tier 5 – AKA “You certainly could do worse, but this guy isn’t killing you”
24. Brandon RoyLast season stats – retired
Brandon Roy can be the worst NBA starting SG this year and he’ll still be an upgrade for the Timberwolves. He’s struggling to create his own shot, but I think he is the guy on this team who will benefit the most when Ricky Rubio returns in two months. Remember Wolves fans, we don’t need B-Roy to look great in November. If he’s not doing it by the end of February, though, we should start to worry. Predicted season stats – 11.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 4.5 apg, 12.5 PER

23. Chauncey BillupsLast season stats – 15.0 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 4.0 apg, 16.1 PER
I don’t know exactly what to make of Mr. B-B-B-Billups at this point. He was good last season, but he – almost predictably – didn’t play a full season due to injury. There is a lot of tread on the tires, but if he can be 90% of the player he was last year, he can certainly help out the Clippers. I just don’t know how confident I am he can come back at close to full strength and stay healthy for the remainder of the year. Predicted season stats – 12.0 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 3.0 apg, 16.0 PER

22. Courtney LeeLast season – 11.4 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 1.5 apg, 12.6 PER
Having Lee starting for you certainly doesn’t kill you, but he’s also not going to win you an extra 5 games, either. He shoots the three ball fairly well and is a relatively solid (maybe even great) defender. Predicted season stats – 9.7 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 1.5 apg, 13.0 PER

21. Bradley BealLast season – Rookie
I think Beal is going to struggle early in the season because this Washington team, especially without Wall, just doesn’t have any talent around him. He seems to be a nice athlete and a solid shooter, but I expect a real inconsistent year from Beal. I think it will be much more telling what kind of season he has next year to find out truly what kind of pro he can be. Predicted season stats – 11.5 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.5 apg, 12.5 PER

Tier 4 – AKA “You probably don’t have the next MJ, but lets hope this guy isn’t your best player”
20. Dion WaitersLast season – Rookie
At the time of the draft, I really think the Cavs reached for Waiters. He’s strong and athletic but maybe a little undersized. He actually reminds me a lot of Randy Foye coming out of college and not really a lights out shooter. Nice player, but I don’t know he’s going to wind up one of the elite NBA two guards simply because the shooting isn’t quite there. Predicted season stats – 15.2 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 4.0 apg, 14.0 PER

19. Wesley MatthewsLast season stats – 13.7 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.7 apg, 14.1 PER
He’s not as great defensively as some people give him credit for, but his ability to shoot the three while not turning the ball over make him a valuable team. If Wes Matthews is your 2nd or 3rd best player, you’re probably in trouble, but a team can certainly win with a guy like Matthews as your 4th or 5th best starter. Predicted season stats – 14.5 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.0 apg, 16.0 PER

18. Tyreke EvansLast season – 16.5 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 4.5 apg, 16.4 PER
It’s obvious the Kings are giving up on Tyreke Evans. He can’t shoot the three and seems to be somewhat of a tweener. That all being said, he’s got a great body and good offensive skills. It will be really interesting if he goes to a decent team (Timberwolves?!?) after this season or signs a larger contract with another bottom dweller in need of talent. Predicted season stats – 14.5 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 4.5 apg, 16.0 PER

17. Gordon HaywardLast season – 11.8 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 3.1 apg, 15.5 PER
As I rookie, I thought Hayward looked like a straight up bust. He played a lot of four in college and now he was coming into the league playing the two and three. He’s got the ability to shoot, but I was surprised by all the intangibles he brings to the table. He defends better than I expected and has emerged into a main backcourt player for the Jazz. Predicted season stats – 14.0 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 3.3 apg, 17.2 PER

16. DeMar DeRozanLast season – 16.7 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 2.0 apg, 12.8 PER
DeMar just got PAID. For a guy that I’ve been waiting three seasons to put it together, DeRozan has just been pretty average. I think he’s just starting to show the guy he’s capable of being. Time will tell if he’s $10 million/year good, but with Jose Calderon coming off the books, the Raptors need to have someone on their roster their vastly overpaying, right? Predicted season stats – 18.0 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 2.2 apg, 16.5 PER