NBA PG Rankings part 1

Last year, I ranked every starting player in the NBA. Of course, in my laziness, I never bothered to post it on my website. I wish I had last season’s list (maybe I’ll find it at some point here) so I could prove to you I thought Kevin Love would be a great player (although my thoughts on Michael Beasley would’ve proved that I was – and more than likely am – an imbecilic).

Tier 5
30. Austin RiversRookie
I’m not even sure if Rivers or Greivis Vásquez is going to wind up starting for New Orleans. I could see Rivers having a very similar year to Brandon Knight. He’ll be playing a (somewhat) new PG. I could see him being an underrated PG who may have a streaky year. I could also see him trying to be a shoot first (and shoot often) PG and being a somewhat difficult PG for teammates to play with. Predicted season stats – 10.2 ppg, 4.5 apg, 2.5 rpg, 11.5 PER

29. Raymond Felton11.4 ppg, 6.5 apg, 2.5 rpg, 13.46 PER
Raymond Felton apparently hung out with Shawn Kemp and Oliver Miller the entire lockout. Fat and out of shape, Felton had a terrible year in Portland. He’s on his fifth team in less than 30 months which is also a bit of a worry. I was a huge Felton fan in college still believe a healthy and motivated Felton can be a solid NBA player. I just don’t know whether or not I believe Felton can be that guy. Predicted season stats – 12.0 ppg, 7.0 apg, 2.5 rpg, 14.0 PER

28. Isaiah ThomasLast season stats – 11.5 ppg, 4.1 apg, 2.6 rpg, 17.68 PER
Thomas reminds me of a short version of Jason Terry. I really think he will eventually become a really nice role player on an NBA team, but you’ve got a lot of shoot first guys (Thomas, Evans, Fredette, Thornton, Salmons) who aren’t high percentage shooters. This team is in desperate need of a distributor. Predicted season stats – 12.5 ppg, 4.0 apg, 2.8 rpg, 17.0 PER

27. Jameer NelsonLast season stats – 11.9 ppg, 5.7 apg, 3.2 rpg, 14.66 PER
I was a little surprised to see Jameer coming back to Orlando. The team is a weird team that’s rebuilding, but currently has a lot of veterans on big contracts (Big Baby Davis, Hedu Turkoglu, Arron Afflalo, AL Harrington). The team actually has a respectable starting 5, but a scary bench. I can see Jameer either having a breakout season leading a scrappy bunch of vets or toiling into obscurity. Predicted season stats – 12.5 ppg, 5.4 apg, 3.3 rpg, 15.0 PER

26. Mario ChalmersLast season stats – 9.8 ppg, 3.5 apg, 2.7 rpg, 12.98 PER
If he were on any other team, having Mario Chalmers as your starting PG would leave a lot to be desired. On Miami, though, it works. He’s a solid three point shooter who seems like one of those irrational confidence guys who isn’t scared to take a shot. Predicted season stats – 10.1 ppg, 3.7 apg, 2.9 rpg, 14.0 PER

25. Jeremy Lin Last season stats – 14.6 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 3.1 apg, 19.97 PER
I think Lin is the hardest guy in the entire league to predict. Last season, during his magical run for NY, he was an average finisher at the rim and from three, but way above average at any other area of the floor. While his hot shooting may continue, I’m a little worried that teams might figure him out this year. Plus, there is a lot of pressure on a guy who’s played 26 good games to carry a bad team especially coming to a new team and coming off of injury. Predicted season stats – 13.5 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 3.0 apg, 15.0 PER

24 Brandon Knight Last season stats – 12.8 ppg, 3.8 apg, 3.2 rpg, 11.79 PER
Knight had an okay, but not great rookie year. He shot the ball fairly well from deep, but his finishing was suspect and his midrange game was completely nonexistent. I was really impressed he came back 15 pounds heavier (For the record, it’s an Enes Kanter 15 pounds, not a Raymond Felton 15). His extra strength should allow him to finish and draw contact better. I could see him making slow steady progress much like Jrue Holiday’s career progression a few years ago. Predicted season stats – 14.0 ppg, 4.0 apg, 3.9 rpg, 14.8 PER

23. Mo WilliamsLast season stats – 13.2 ppg, 3.1 apg, 1.9 rpg, 15.02 PER
The departure of Devin Harris and subsequent arrival of Mo Williams means Utah will have a new look this year. With one of the deepest and most talented front line combinations in the league, Utah is going to be mighty salty if they can get anything from their backcourt. I think his ability to shoot will help space the floor better for Utah enabling their posts a little more room to operate. Predicted season stats – 15.2 ppg, 5.2 apg, 2.9 rpg, 15.5 PER

Tier 4

22. Darren Collison Last season stats – 10.4 ppg, 4.8 apg, 3.1 rpg, 13.62 PER
Given starter minutes in Dallas, his stats will likely see a bump without competition from George Hill. The oft-injured Roddy Beaubois (Roddy Buckets!) will likely see more minutes as well, but this just seems like a bad situation. Collison is extremely fast but his slight build and lack of finishing ability plus makeup of the team likely mean you won’t see Dallas running the Phoenix “7 Seconds or Less” offense. This just kind of feels like a bad fit. Predicted season stats – 9.9 ppg, 4.5 apg, 3.1 rpg, 13.5 PER

21. Kemba Walker Last season stats – 12.1 ppg, 4.4 apg, 3.5 rpg, 14.98 PER
Quick question… who was the worst shooting PG in the NBA last year? Rondo? Rubio? Wall? Wrong… it was none other than Kemba Walker. What Walker did do last year, though, is not turn the ball over, rebound extremely well for a point guard, and create his own shot. Much of the pressure will be on him this year and it will be interesting to see if the addition of some above average ball players like Ben Gordon and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist will take some pressure off. Predicted season stats – 14.0 ppg, 4.9 apg, 3.9 rpg, 16.0 PER

20. George Hill Last season stats – 9.6 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 3.0 agp, 15.77 PER
I think George Hill is going to continue to be George Hill and do George Hill like things. While he likely isn’t going to carry your team, he’s going to score between 8-18 points, while grabbing between 2-6 rebounds, getting between 2-5 assists, and a steal or so. And he’s going to do that every single game. He won’t have any 2 point, 2 assist, 1 rebound games, but he’s not going to put up a triple double either. Just a solidly average starting PG. Predicted stats – 11.2 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 3.5 apg, 16.5 PER

19. Damian LillardRookie
Damian Lillard grabbed co-MVP of the NBA Summer League along with Josh Selby. Although this award can prove to be meaningless (Jerryd Bayless and Nate Robinson won one and Anthony Randolph should have). While I’m not ready to crown him based on play against rookies and D-Leaguers, Lillard has looked good and seems to have the size, athleticism, and skill set to succeed. Predicted season stats – 12.5 ppg, 7.0 apg, 4.0 rpg, 16.0 PER

18. Goran DragicLast season stats – 11.7 ppg, 5.3 apg, 2.5 rpg, 18.03 PER
Dragic has shown spurts of being great in his career, but this year, we’ll find out if he’s the real deal. A natural PG, he’s been teamed with either Nash or Lowry for his entire career. He’s a crafty PG and a solid defender. At 27 years old, this year is a real make or break season in his career. This may be comparing apples and oranges since it’s a different sport, but I’m curious to find out whether he is going to be Steve Young or Scott Mitchell? Predicted season stats – 17.0 ppg, 6.2 apg, 3.0 rpg, 17.0 PER